Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.026938 0.029035 0.031141 0.033412 0.035788 0.038198 0.040824
2025-11-23 0.022746 0.026002 0.029393 0.033175 0.037261 0.041529 0.046311
2025-11-30 0.020250 0.024155 0.028328 0.033091 0.038348 0.043946 0.050331
2025-12-07 0.018015 0.022332 0.027052 0.032549 0.038727 0.045413 0.053150
2025-12-14 0.016097 0.020689 0.025819 0.031903 0.038854 0.046481 0.055420
2025-12-21 0.014414 0.019187 0.024629 0.031196 0.038810 0.047274 0.057304
2025-12-28 0.013743 0.018817 0.024696 0.031886 0.040320 0.049784 0.061096
2026-01-04 0.012830 0.018090 0.024289 0.031974 0.041091 0.051422 0.063873
2026-01-11 0.011921 0.017311 0.023769 0.031882 0.041616 0.052747 0.066266
2026-01-18 0.011482 0.017088 0.023897 0.032546 0.043015 0.055074 0.069812
2026-01-25 0.010720 0.016409 0.023430 0.032455 0.043488 0.056300 0.072064
2026-02-01 0.010048 0.015810 0.023029 0.032418 0.044005 0.057560 0.074343
2026-02-08 0.009333 0.015158 0.022583 0.032366 0.044566 0.058955 0.076894
2026-02-15 0.008582 0.014428 0.022018 0.032157 0.044939 0.060144 0.079233
2026-02-22 0.007950 0.013819 0.021576 0.032073 0.045440 0.061466 0.081716
2026-03-01 0.007200 0.012997 0.020812 0.031542 0.045354 0.062056 0.083302
2026-03-08 0.006476 0.012167 0.019999 0.030910 0.045111 0.062428 0.084606
2026-03-15 0.005793 0.011351 0.019166 0.030217 0.044761 0.062644 0.085701
2026-03-22 0.005613 0.011286 0.019366 0.030893 0.046164 0.065034 0.089458
2026-03-29 0.005259 0.010927 0.019137 0.030979 0.046794 0.066456 0.092026
2026-04-05 0.004877 0.010501 0.018791 0.030889 0.047185 0.067570 0.094211
2026-04-12 0.004735 0.010454 0.018986 0.031539 0.048544 0.069906 0.097916
2026-04-19 0.004396 0.010059 0.018657 0.031450 0.048919 0.070992 0.100065